Development of a Fuzzy Logic System to Identify the Risk of Projects Financed from Structural Funds

Authors

  • Marcel Ioan BoloÅŸ University of Oradea
  • Diana-Claudia Sabău-Popa Departament of Finance-Accounting, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Oradea Romania, 410087 Oradea, Universitatii St. 1
  • Petru Filip 1. Dimitrie Cantemir Christian University, Romania, 040042 Bucharest, Splaiul Unirii, 176 2. Agora University of Oradea, Romania, 410526 Oradea, Piata Tineretului, 8 3. University of Oradea Romania, 410610 Oradea, University Street, 1
  • Adriana Manolescu

Keywords:

Fuzzy Logic System (FLS), artificial intelligence, financial risk, structural funds, centroid method

Abstract

The fuzzy logic system developed in this research paper seeks to identify the financial risk of projects financed from structural funds when changes occur in project values, in the duration of the projects and in the implementation durations. Those two factors are known to influence the financial risk. The fuzzy system was simulated using Matlab and the results showed its operation and the conclusion that the financial risk of the project is dependent on the developments values and on the implementation duration. The developed and tested fuzzy logic system provides information on financial risk intensity organized into three categories: small, medium and large and on the inflection point of transition from low risk to high risk. This is considered an early warning system for the management staff with responsibilities in structural funds.

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Published

2015-06-22

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