Parkinson’s Disease Prediction Based on Multistate Markov Models

Hariton Costin, Oana Geman

Abstract


In the real medical world, there are many symptoms or chronic diseases that cannot be characterized in a deterministic way, and which must be examined in a random way. In the study of these stochastic processes, Markov chains are used. There is a wide variety of phenomena that suggest a behavior in a Markov process manner such as: the probability that a patient's health to improve, to get worse, to remain stable or to progress to death within a certain time slot, depending on what happened in the previous time window. Our goal is to show that the Markov chains can be applied to the patients with Parkinson’s disease in order to predict the evolution of the disease over time. So the doctor may decide a therapeutic solution that is adapted to the patient's needs, and that can improve the quality of the patient's life with Parkinson's disease in terminal stage.


Keywords


Parkinson’s disease; Markov chains; Multistate Markov Models; Prediction.

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.15837/ijccc.2013.4.498



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